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Pors vs IL Express

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Wangerud T.
52' Event
Thorsen S.
58' Event
Tasso D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2022 game between Pors and IL Express finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IL Express.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Pors
20%
Draws
34%
IL Express
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pors come out ahead of IL Express on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pors a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pors have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Pors Clean Sheet 68%
IL Express Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pors IL Express
Matches Played 41 29
Wins 23 5
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2022 Division 3 - Group 4
IL Express vs Pors
1:3
Jun 25, 2022 Division 3 - Group 4
Pors vs IL Express
1:2
Oct 21, 2017 Division 3 - Group 3
IL Express vs Pors
0:3
Jul 23, 2017 Division 3 - Group 3
Pors vs IL Express
6:1
Sep 10, 2015 Division 3 - Group 5
Pors vs IL Express
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pors Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

IL Express Compare

Top Goalscorer Wangerud T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tasso D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pors 95 / 100
IL Express 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pors IL Express

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pors scored in 85% of their last 41 games.

Defensive concern: IL Express conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Pors went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pors VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pors

(Home)
21 Aug
Uradd
0 : 3
Pors
16 Aug
Pors
1 : 1
Bjarg
08 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Pors
01 Aug
Pors
1 : 1
Brattvag
25 Jul
Bjarg
0 : 1
Pors
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IL Express

(Away)
10 Apr
IL Express
1 : 2
Arendal
23 Oct
Mandalskameratene
3 : 2
IL Express
16 Oct
IL Express
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
08 Oct
Uradd
1 : 3
IL Express
04 Oct
IL Express
2 : 1
Start 2
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