Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pors vs Notodden

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Pors Stadion, Porsgrunn
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Leandersson E.
35' Event
Bjerkan B.
41'
Garstad T.

AI Match Summary

Notodden in this Division 2 - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notodden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pors
40%
Draws
29%
Notodden
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Pors have won more games recently than Notodden.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Notodden have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pors Clean Sheet 20%
Notodden Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pors Notodden
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Pors vs Notodden
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Pors vs Notodden
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Pors vs Notodden
2:2
May 3, 2025 Division 2 - Group 1
Notodden vs Pors
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Notodden vs Pors
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pors Compare

Top Goalscorer Meen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandersson E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjerkan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pors 32 / 100
Notodden 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pors Notodden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pors found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Notodden conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Pors remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pors VS Notodden
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pors

(Home)
27 Jun
Pors
2 : 4
Arendal
20 Jun
Pors
2 : 0
Eik-Tonsberg
13 Jun
Vidar
1 : 1
Pors
31 May
Pors
1 : 0
Mjondalen
24 May
Traeff
3 : 3
Pors
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Notodden

(Away)
27 Jun
Sandviken
0 : 4
Notodden
20 Jun
Notodden
1 : 2
Mjondalen
14 Jun
Lysekloster
0 : 2
Notodden
31 May
Notodden
0 : 0
Jerv
25 May
Brattvag
2 : 0
Notodden
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jerv12102025:1032
2Brattvag1281322:925
3Kvik Halden1273222:1324
4Mjondalen1272322:1523
5Bjarg1271422:1922
6Sotra1253424:1318
7Notodden1253419:1118
8Traeff1244423:2116
9Pors1243514:1715
10Arendal1225514:2011
11Lysekloster1225515:2411
12Sandviken1232711:2211
13Eik-Tonsberg1211108:264
14Vidar120399:303
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)