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Port Adelaide Lion vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Australia Australia

SA State League 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Adelaide Croatia Raiders in this SA State League 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adelaide Croatia Raiders.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Port Adelaide Lion
15%
Draws
67%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Adelaide Croatia Raiders lately — more wins on the board than Port Adelaide Lion.
  • Adelaide Croatia Raiders are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Port Adelaide Lion Clean Sheet 14%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Adelaide Lion Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 9 22
Draws 1 2
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.32 2.46
Goals Conceded 2.61 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2023 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Port Adelaide Lion
6:1
Apr 1, 2023 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
0:3
Jun 18, 2022 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Port Adelaide Lion
1:3
Mar 12, 2022 SA State League
Port Adelaide Lion vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
1:2
Jun 20, 2015 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs Port Adelaide Lion
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Adelaide Lion 10 / 100
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Adelaide Lion Adelaide Croatia Raiders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Croatia Raiders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Port Adelaide Lion scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 35 matches.

Port Adelaide Lion went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Adelaide Croatia Raiders
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Adelaide Lion

(Home)
12 Aug
Adelaide Atletico
2 : 2
Port Adelaide Lion
05 Aug
Port Adelaide Lion
2 : 4
West Torrens Birkalla
15 Jul
Port Adelaide Lion
0 : 4
Playford Patriots
08 Jul
Para
1 : 3
Port Adelaide Lion
01 Jul
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Port Adelaide Lion
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Adelaide Croatia Raiders

(Away)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
29 Aug
Blue Eagles
0 : 3
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
07 Aug
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 2
The Cove FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modbury Jets 22 15 3 4 75:30 48
2 West Adelaide 22 11 9 2 47:28 42
3 Blue Eagles 22 12 4 6 48:29 40
4 Para 22 12 4 6 35:28 40
5 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 11 4 7 45:34 37
6 Fulham United 22 9 6 7 30:28 33
7 Playford Patriots 22 9 3 10 31:43 30
8 Port Adelaide Lion 22 9 1 12 31:51 28
9 Eastern United 22 7 4 11 29:38 25
10 Adelaide Atletico 22 5 9 8 21:23 24
11 Adelaide University SC 22 3 4 15 21:50 13
12 Adelaide Hills Hawks 22 2 3 17 20:51 9
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League 2024 (Play Offs)