Sport Picks
Port MTI FC vs Sukhothai
Thailand
Thai League 1 2025/2026 PAT Stadium, Bangkok 
Match Events
10'
10'
Kaka Mendes
Assist: Poeiphimai T.
17'
17'
Shimura N.
Assist: Poeiphimai T.
19'
19'
Lucas Tocantins
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Port MTI FC and Sukhothai finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Port MTI FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port MTI FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Port MTI FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Port MTI FC are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Port MTI FC Clean Sheet 20%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Port MTI FC | Sukhothai |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.12 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.71 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Port MTI FC
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Sukhothai
5:0
Aug 24, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Port MTI FC
1:0
Jan 20, 2025 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Port MTI FC
3:2
Aug 27, 2024 Thai League 1
Port MTI FC vs Sukhothai
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Port MTI FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaka Mendes
1 Goals Assists Leader Shimura N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85
Sukhothai Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Port MTI FC 36 / 100
Sukhothai 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Port MTI FC Sukhothai
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Port MTI FC scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.
Sukhothai has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Sukhothai lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Port MTI FC VS Sukhothai
2.13 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Port MTI FC
(Home) 20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2 Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1 Lamphun Warrior
05 Sept
Rasisalai United
1 : 2 Port MTI FC
29 Aug
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2 Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Port MTI FC
2 : 1 Lamphun Warrior
29 Jul
Port MTI FC
2 : 2 Persija Jakarta
02 May
Port MTI FC
3 : 1 Buriram United F.C.
19 Apr
Port MTI FC
0 : 0 Pathum United
Page 1 of 3
Sukhothai
(Away) 20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1 Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0 Sukhothai
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3 Buriram United F.C.
10 May
Sukhothai
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0 Sukhothai
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
11 Apr
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 1 Sukhothai
03 Apr
Bangkok Utd
2 : 0 Sukhothai
21 Mar
Chonburi
2 : 0 Sukhothai
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United F.C. | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 45:29 | 52 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 43:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 39:37 | 45 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Chonburi | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:41 | 39 |
| 9 | Rayong FC | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:49 | 37 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya United | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39:44 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35:47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 27:52 | 26 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 29:54 | 23 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)
