Sport Picks
Port Talbot vs Afan Lido - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Port Talbot advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Port Talbot
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Afan Lido come out ahead of Port Talbot on wins alone.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Afan Lido arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Afan Lido, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Port Talbot Clean Sheet 16%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Port Talbot | Afan Lido |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 27 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.15 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.53 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Port Talbot vs Afan Lido
3:1
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Port Talbot vs Afan Lido
3:0
Apr 18, 2022 Cymru South
Port Talbot vs Afan Lido
0:2
Apr 15, 2022 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Port Talbot
2:0
Aug 14, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Port Talbot vs Afan Lido
0:6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Port Talbot 30 / 100
Afan Lido 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Port Talbot Afan Lido
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Port Talbot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Afan Lido conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.
Port Talbot has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Port Talbot scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Afan Lido
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Port Talbot
(Home) 22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2 Port Talbot
18 Oct
Port Talbot
3 : 1 Afan Lido
20 Sept
Port Talbot
2 : 1 Seven Sisters
11 Jul
Port Talbot
3 : 0 Afan Lido
30 Apr
Trefelin
4 : 0 Port Talbot
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Port Talbot
3 : 1 Afan Lido
20 Sept
Port Talbot
2 : 1 Seven Sisters
11 Jul
Port Talbot
3 : 0 Afan Lido
18 Apr
Port Talbot
0 : 2 Afan Lido
02 Apr
Port Talbot
0 : 1 Risca United
Page 1 of 3
Afan Lido
(Away) 02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0 Afan Lido
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0 Afan Lido
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2 Afan Lido
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
