Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Port Talbot vs Goytre AFC

Wales Wales

Division 1
Sat, May 16, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Port Talbot host Goytre AFC in the Division 1. This has Goytre AFC written all over it on paper. Goytre AFC have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Port Talbot have conceded 3.53 and scored 0.6. Past meetings favor Port Talbot slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.56 - 2.00) back Goytre AFC to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Port Talbot
15%
Draws
34%
Goytre AFC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port Talbot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goytre AFC come out ahead of Port Talbot on wins alone.
  • Port Talbot are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Port Talbot Clean Sheet 10%
Goytre AFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Talbot Goytre AFC
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 3
Losses 27 8
Goals Scored 0.6 1.95
Goals Conceded 3.53 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2020 Division 1
Port Talbot vs Goytre AFC
0:0
May 2, 2020 Division 1
Goytre AFC vs Port Talbot
0:0
Apr 20, 2019 Division 1
Port Talbot vs Goytre AFC
3:0
Feb 16, 2019 Division 1
Goytre AFC vs Port Talbot
1:1
Mar 24, 2018 Division 1
Goytre AFC vs Port Talbot
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Talbot 83 / 100
Goytre AFC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Talbot Goytre AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Talbot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre AFC has conceded goals in 84% of their last 19 outings.

Port Talbot has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Goytre AFC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Port Talbot scored in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Port Talbot VS Goytre AFC
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Talbot

(Home)
22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Port Talbot
18 Oct
Port Talbot
3 : 1
Afan Lido
20 Sept
Port Talbot
2 : 1
Seven Sisters
11 Jul
Port Talbot
3 : 0
Afan Lido
30 Apr
Trefelin
4 : 0
Port Talbot
Page 1 of 6

Goytre AFC

(Away)
07 Jul
Barry Town
3 : 1
Goytre AFC
09 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
28 Jun
Baglan Dragons
5 : 1
Goytre AFC
16 Nov
Airbus UK Broughton FC
7 : 1
Goytre AFC
22 Oct
Goytre AFC
1 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
Promotion - Cymru South 2020/2021 (Main)