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Port Talbot vs Llantwit Major

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2021/2022
Port Talbot Logo

Port Talbot

0 - 3
FT
Llantwit Major Logo

Llantwit Major

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Cripps B.
75' Event
O'Sullivan S.
Own Goal
90' Event
Jones J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2021/2022 game between Port Talbot and Llantwit Major finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llantwit Major.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Port Talbot
15%
Draws
8%
Llantwit Major
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Port Talbot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llantwit Major come out ahead of Port Talbot on wins alone.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Port Talbot taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Llantwit Major have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Port Talbot Clean Sheet 19%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Talbot Llantwit Major
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 3 15
Draws 0 8
Losses 27 14
Goals Scored 0.6 1.51
Goals Conceded 3.53 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2021 Cymru South
Port Talbot vs Llantwit Major
0:3
Oct 30, 2021 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Port Talbot
6:0
Nov 10, 2018 Division 1
Port Talbot vs Llantwit Major
0:2
Sep 15, 2018 Division 1
Llantwit Major vs Port Talbot
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Talbot Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Llantwit Major Compare

Top Goalscorer Cripps B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Talbot 85 / 100
Llantwit Major 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Talbot Llantwit Major

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Talbot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Llantwit Major has conceded goals in 70% of their last 37 outings.

Port Talbot has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Llantwit Major has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llantwit Major
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Talbot

(Home)
22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Port Talbot
18 Oct
Port Talbot
3 : 1
Afan Lido
20 Sept
Port Talbot
2 : 1
Seven Sisters
11 Jul
Port Talbot
3 : 0
Afan Lido
30 Apr
Trefelin
4 : 0
Port Talbot
Page 1 of 6

Llantwit Major

(Away)
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0
Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3
Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llantwit Major 30 24 2 4 73:31 74
2 Pontypridd United 30 21 6 3 79:30 69
3 Briton Ferry 30 17 5 8 76:36 56
4 Cambrian United 30 15 6 9 73:42 51
5 Carmarthen Town 30 15 9 6 52:25 51
6 Goytre Utd 30 15 6 9 55:36 51
7 Taffs Well 30 14 7 9 57:47 49
8 Pure Swansea 30 11 7 12 44:43 40
9 Llanelli 30 11 7 12 43:54 40
10 Afan Lido 30 12 3 15 45:67 39
11 Trefelin 30 9 10 11 58:51 37
12 Ammanford Town 30 10 4 16 58:56 34
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 10 4 16 43:74 34
14 Risca United 30 7 10 13 43:51 31
15 Undy 30 5 2 23 41:84 17
16 Port Talbot 30 0 0 30 8:121 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)