Sport Picks

Port Vale vs Mansfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

EFL Trophy Vale Park, Stoke on Trent

Port Vale

2 - 0

Mansfield

Our Tip

Match Events

Lawrence-Gabriel J.

44'

Brady J.

46'

Sub

Hall G. In: Bussell C.

Out: Hall G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Port Vale

20%

Draws

20%

Mansfield

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence

Port Vale have won more games recently than Mansfield.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Port Vale have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Port Vale, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Port Vale have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%

Port Vale Clean Sheet 20%

Mansfield Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Port Vale	Mansfield
Matches Played	28	26
Wins	10	9
Draws	5	8
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	0.93	1.65
Goals Conceded	1.32	1.65
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 EFL Trophy

Port Vale vs Mansfield

2:0

Jan 17, 2026 League One

Mansfield vs Port Vale

3:0

Sep 20, 2025 League One

Port Vale vs Mansfield

2:1

Oct 31, 2023 EFL Cup

Mansfield vs Port Vale

0:1

May 28, 2022 League Two

Mansfield vs Port Vale

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Vale Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawrence-Gabriel J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Asamoah M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

Mansfield Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Vale 31 / 100

Mansfield 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Port Vale Mansfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Vale Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mansfield has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Mansfield lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Port Vale scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Port Vale VS Mansfield

0.38 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

38% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Vale

(Home)

06 Oct

Port Vale

2 : 0

Mansfield

22 Sept

Chesterfield

2 : 1

Port Vale

19 Sept

Walsall

2 : 0

Port Vale

12 Sept

Port Vale

1 : 0

Exeter

05 Sept

Salford

1 : 0

Port Vale

Page 1 of 6

Mansfield

(Away)

06 Oct

Port Vale

2 : 0

Mansfield

19 Sept

Burton

2 : 2

Mansfield

12 Sept

Mansfield

0 : 0

Huddersfield

05 Sept

Bradford City

1 : 0

Mansfield

02 Sept

Reading

5 : 0

Mansfield

Page 1 of 6