Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Port Vale vs Tamworth

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Faal M.
24' Event
Hernandez O.
34' Event
Lawrence-Gabriel J.

AI Match Summary

Port Vale in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Port Vale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Port Vale
6%
Draws
4%
Tamworth
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Port Vale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Port Vale lately — more wins on the board than Tamworth.
  • Model gives Port Vale a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 15%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Port Vale Tamworth
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Port Vale vs Tamworth
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Port Vale Compare

Top Goalscorer Faal M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tamworth Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Port Vale 84 / 100
Tamworth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Port Vale Tamworth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamworth has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Port Vale scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Port Vale remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Port Vale VS Tamworth
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Port Vale

(Home)
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
18 Jul
Wigan
1 : 3
Port Vale
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0
Tamworth
02 May
Port Vale
0 : 2
Lincoln City
28 Apr
Stockport County
1 : 2
Port Vale
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Tamworth

(Away)
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1
Macclesfield
25 Jul
Halesowen
2 : 2
Tamworth
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2
Aston Villa U21
18 Jul
Tamworth
3 : 1
Stoke City U21
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0
Tamworth
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