Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Dempsey K.
18'
18'
Byers G.
(Penalty)
27'
27'
Sub
Byers G. In: Walters R.
Out: Byers G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tranmere
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Port Vale lately — more wins on the board than Tranmere.
- 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Port Vale Clean Sheet 17%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Port Vale | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 League Two
Port Vale vs Tranmere
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Port Vale
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 League Two
Port Vale vs Tranmere
0:0
Feb 19, 2022 League Two
Tranmere vs Port Vale
1:1
Aug 14, 2021 League Two
Port Vale vs Tranmere
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Port Vale Compare
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Tranmere Compare
Top Goalscorer Ince T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Port Vale 31 / 100
Tranmere 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Port Vale Tranmere
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tranmere Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tranmere's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Port Vale's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Port Vale has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Port Vale VS Tranmere
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Port Vale
(Home) 22 Sept
Chesterfield
2 : 1 Port Vale
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0 Port Vale
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0 Exeter
05 Sept
Salford
1 : 0 Port Vale
01 Sept
Swindon
3 : 1 Port Vale
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0 Exeter
29 Aug
Port Vale
0 : 0 Crewe
22 Aug
Port Vale
1 : 1 Tranmere
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0 Murcia
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0 Tamworth
Page 1 of 3
Tranmere
(Away) 22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0 Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Tranmere
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0 Oldham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2 Rotherham
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Tranmere
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0 Tranmere
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2 Tranmere
22 Aug
Port Vale
1 : 1 Tranmere
25 Apr
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 0 Tranmere
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
