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Portadown vs Carrick Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Shamrock Park, Portadown
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Towe A.
8'
Sub
Crowe J. In: Olosunde M.
Out: Crowe J.
23'
Sub
Wilson L. In: Scott J.
Out: Wilson L.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 game between Portadown and Carrick Rangers finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Portadown
6%
Draws
4%
Carrick Rangers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portadown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carrick Rangers come out ahead of Portadown on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Portadown taking it.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Portadown Clean Sheet 10%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Carrick Rangers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Carrick Rangers
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Carrick Rangers
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Portadown
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Portadown
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Portadown
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portadown Compare

Top Goalscorer Towe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Carrick Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 83 / 100
Carrick Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Carrick Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portadown scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Carrick Rangers has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Portadown stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Carrick Rangers
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
28 Jul
Mountjoy
1 : 12
Portadown
25 Jul
Kilbarrack Utd
0 : 3
Portadown
21 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 2
Portadown
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
07 Jul
Bourneview Mill
2 : 2
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

Carrick Rangers

(Away)
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
21 Jul
Queens University
3 : 5
Carrick Rangers
18 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
06 May
Dungannon
3 : 1
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Carrick Rangers381581564:5853
8Portadown381352044:6644
9Ballymena381091946:5839
10Bangor FC381091941:6539
11Crusaders381062248:8136
12Glenavon38842637:6928
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Main)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)