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Stadium Background

Portadown vs Carrick Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Shamrock Park, Portadown
Portadown Logo

Portadown

1 - 1
FT
Carrick Rangers Logo

Carrick Rangers

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Towe A.
8'
Sub
Crowe J. In: Olosunde M.
Out: Crowe J.
23'
Sub
Wilson L. In: Scott J.
Out: Wilson L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 game between Portadown and Carrick Rangers finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portadown
20%
Draws
40%
Carrick Rangers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carrick Rangers come out ahead of Portadown on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Portadown taking it.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Portadown Clean Sheet 10%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Carrick Rangers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Portadown
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Carrick Rangers
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Carrick Rangers
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Portadown
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Carrick Rangers vs Portadown
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portadown Compare

Top Goalscorer Towe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Carrick Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 40 / 100
Carrick Rangers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Carrick Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Portadown scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Carrick Rangers has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Carrick Rangers's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Carrick Rangers
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

Carrick Rangers

(Away)
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Carrick Rangers 38 15 8 15 64:58 53
8 Portadown 38 13 5 20 44:66 44
9 Ballymena 38 10 9 19 46:58 39
10 Bangor FC 38 10 9 19 41:65 39
11 Crusaders 38 10 6 22 48:81 36
12 Glenavon 38 8 4 26 37:69 28
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Main)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)