Sport Picks

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Portadown vs Coleraine

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Shamrock Park, Portadown
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portadown host Coleraine in the NIFL Premiership. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Portadown have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Coleraine's 2.38 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Coleraine slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.81, favoring Coleraine. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portadown
44%
Draws
20%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Portadown haven't matched Coleraine's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Coleraine have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Portadown Clean Sheet 11%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Coleraine
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 10 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Coleraine vs Portadown
3:0
Feb 10, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Portadown
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Coleraine
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Coleraine
1:4
Mar 22, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Portadown
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 35 / 100
Coleraine 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portadown scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Coleraine conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Portadown has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Coleraine
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
21 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 2
Portadown
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
07 Jul
Bourneview Mill
2 : 2
Portadown
07 Jul
Killyleagh Youth
3 : 2
Portadown
04 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 3
Portadown
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Coleraine

(Away)
23 Jul
HJK
5 : 0
Coleraine
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
14 Jul
Sligo Rovers
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Jul
Newbuildings
2 : 5
Coleraine
11 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portstewart
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran00000:00
2Cliftonville00000:00
3Ballymena00000:00
4Bangor FC00000:00
5Coleraine00000:00
6Crusaders00000:00
7Dungannon00000:00
8Linfield00000:00
9Larne00000:00
10Limavady00000:00
11Portadown00000:00
12Carrick Rangers00000:00
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)