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Portadown vs Dungannon

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Shamrock Park, Portadown
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portadown host Dungannon in the NIFL Premiership. This one's hard to separate. Portadown have averaged 1.5 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Dungannon's 2.75 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Portadown slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.88, favoring Dungannon. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Portadown
33%
Draws
40%
Dungannon
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dungannon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dungannon lately — more wins on the board than Portadown.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Dungannon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Portadown Clean Sheet 10%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Dungannon
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.5 2.75
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Dungannon
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Portadown vs Dungannon
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Portadown
4:2
Aug 16, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Portadown
1:4
Mar 15, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Dungannon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 26 / 100
Dungannon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Dungannon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Portadown found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Dungannon conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Portadown went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Dungannon
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
25 Jul
Kilbarrack Utd
0 : 3
Portadown
21 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 2
Portadown
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
07 Jul
Bourneview Mill
2 : 2
Portadown
07 Jul
Killyleagh Youth
3 : 2
Portadown
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Dungannon

(Away)
25 Jul
Harland & Wolff
1 : 1
Dungannon
24 Jul
Oxford Sunnyside
0 : 1
Dungannon
21 Jul
Loughgall
1 : 4
Dungannon
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
18 Jul
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Dungannon
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran00000:00
2Cliftonville00000:00
3Ballymena00000:00
4Bangor FC00000:00
5Coleraine00000:00
6Crusaders00000:00
7Dungannon00000:00
8Linfield00000:00
9Larne00000:00
10Limavady00000:00
11Portadown00000:00
12Carrick Rangers00000:00
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)