Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portadown vs Dungannon

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Shamrock Park, Portadown
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lowe K.
51'
Sub
Flanagan F. In: Kennedy B.
Out: Flanagan F.
65'
Sub
Gordon S. In: Kelly T.
Out: Gordon S.

AI Match Summary

Dungannon in this NIFL Premiership matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dungannon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Portadown
20%
Draws
70%
Dungannon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dungannon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dungannon lately — more wins on the board than Portadown.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Dungannon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Portadown Clean Sheet 14%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portadown Dungannon
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Dungannon
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Dungannon
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Irish Cup
Portadown vs Dungannon
1:2
Dec 20, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Portadown
4:2
Aug 16, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Portadown
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portadown Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dungannon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lowe K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portadown 10 / 100
Dungannon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portadown Dungannon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dungannon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Portadown found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Dungannon conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Portadown went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portadown VS Dungannon
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portadown

(Home)
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

Dungannon

(Away)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)