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Portalegrense vs Academico Viseu

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portalegrense play Academico Viseu in the Taça de Portugal. Academico Viseu are favorites here. Recently, Portalegrense averaged 0.25 goals scored and 5.75 conceded. Academico Viseu averaged 1.74 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, Portalegrense won 0, Academico Viseu won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 21, 2025 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Portalegrense and 1.30 for Academico Viseu. This points to a Academico Viseu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Portalegrense
17%
Draws
73%
Academico Viseu
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Academico Viseu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portalegrense picked up more points recently compared to Academico Viseu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Portalegrense Clean Sheet 19%
Academico Viseu Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portalegrense Academico Viseu
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 0 18
Draws 0 6
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.25 1.74
Goals Conceded 5.75 0.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Portalegrense vs Academico Viseu
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portalegrense Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Academico Viseu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andre Clovis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portalegrense 13 / 100
Academico Viseu 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portalegrense Academico Viseu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academico Viseu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Academico Viseu & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +400%
50.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portalegrense attacking → ← attacking Academico Viseu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portalegrense scored in 25% of their last 4 games.

Academico Viseu let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Portalegrense went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Academico Viseu lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 60
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13