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Stadium Background

Porthmadog vs Bangor 1876

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Summers-Jones D.

AI Match Summary

Porthmadog in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porthmadog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Porthmadog
20%
Draws
23%
Bangor 1876
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Porthmadog lately — more wins on the board than Bangor 1876.
  • Porthmadog are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Cymru North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 10%
Bangor 1876 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porthmadog Bangor 1876
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.54 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.86 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Bangor 1876
1:0
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Bangor 1876 vs Porthmadog
0:0
Jan 1, 2024 Cymru North
Bangor 1876 vs Porthmadog
4:1
Dec 26, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Bangor 1876
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porthmadog Compare

Top Goalscorer Summers-Jones D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Bangor 1876 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porthmadog 74 / 100
Bangor 1876 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porthmadog Bangor 1876

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porthmadog's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bangor 1876 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Porthmadog remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Porthmadog VS Bangor 1876
1.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Porthmadog

(Home)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Bangor 1876

(Away)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
25 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 6
Buckley
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)