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Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Bird C.

AI Match Summary

Llanidloes Town in this Cymru North 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llanidloes Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Porthmadog
6%
Draws
4%
Llanidloes Town
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Porthmadog have won more games recently than Llanidloes Town.
  • Model gives Porthmadog a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Porthmadog have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 16%
Llanidloes Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porthmadog Llanidloes Town
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 25
Goals Scored 1.25 0.29
Goals Conceded 2.63 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
0:1
Jul 22, 2023 League Cup
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
4:2
Apr 15, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
3:0
Jul 30, 2022 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porthmadog Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Llanidloes Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Bird C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.26
Avg xA / game 0.16

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porthmadog 84 / 100
Llanidloes Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porthmadog Llanidloes Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llanidloes Town conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Llanidloes Town's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Porthmadog scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Porthmadog VS Llanidloes Town
1.25 Goals Scored 0.29
2.63 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 71%

League Standings

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4Mold Alexandra301811166:5055
5Bangor 1876301721162:5553
6Denbigh301541171:6049
7Ruthin Town301261258:5242
8Guilsfield301171248:4640
9Caersws FC301091160:5339
10Gresford301071347:5437
11Buckley301061454:6036
12Llandudno FC301011959:8031
13Prestatyn30751839:7423
14Porthmadog30642035:6622
15Chirk AAA FC30342332:8213
16Llanidloes Town30232525:1069