Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Bird C.

AI Match Summary

Llanidloes Town in this Cymru North 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llanidloes Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Porthmadog
15%
Draws
0%
Llanidloes Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Porthmadog have won more games recently than Llanidloes Town.
  • Model gives Porthmadog a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Porthmadog have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 15%
Llanidloes Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porthmadog Llanidloes Town
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 1.48 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.93 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
0:1
Jul 22, 2023 League Cup
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
4:2
Apr 15, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
3:0
Jul 30, 2022 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porthmadog Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Llanidloes Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Bird C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porthmadog 84 / 100
Llanidloes Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porthmadog Llanidloes Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llanidloes Town conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Llanidloes Town's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Porthmadog scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Porthmadog VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Porthmadog

(Home)
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3
Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6

Llanidloes Town

(Away)
30 Apr
Caersws FC
5 : 0
Llanidloes Town
24 Apr
Holywell Town FC
4 : 0
Llanidloes Town
20 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 4
Bangor 1876
13 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 3
Flint Town
06 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 7
Denbigh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holywell Town FC 30 26 3 1 79:17 81
2 Flint Town 30 25 3 2 94:30 78
3 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 23 5 2 84:28 74
4 Mold Alexandra 30 18 1 11 66:50 55
5 Bangor 1876 30 17 2 11 62:55 53
6 Denbigh 30 15 4 11 71:60 49
7 Ruthin Town 30 12 6 12 58:52 42
8 Guilsfield 30 11 7 12 48:46 40
9 Caersws FC 30 10 9 11 60:53 39
10 Gresford 30 10 7 13 47:54 37
11 Buckley 30 10 6 14 54:60 36
12 Llandudno FC 30 10 1 19 59:80 31
13 Prestatyn 30 7 5 18 39:74 23
14 Porthmadog 30 6 4 20 35:66 22
15 Chirk AAA FC 30 3 4 23 32:82 13
16 Llanidloes Town 30 2 3 25 25:106 9
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