Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Smallwood J.
48'
48'
Cavanagh S.
55'
55'
Cavanagh S.
AI Match Summary
Porthmadog in this League Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porthmadog
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Porthmadog lately — more wins on the board than Llanidloes Town.
- Win probability leans Porthmadog's way, sitting at 90%.
- Porthmadog have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Porthmadog, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Porthmadog have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 15%
Llanidloes Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porthmadog | Llanidloes Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 3.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 24, 2024 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
0:1
Jul 22, 2023 League Cup
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
4:2
Apr 15, 2023 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Llanidloes Town
3:0
Jul 30, 2022 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Porthmadog
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Porthmadog Compare
Top Goalscorer Cavanagh S.
4 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Llanidloes Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Smallwood J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porthmadog 84 / 100
Llanidloes Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porthmadog Llanidloes Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llanidloes Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Llanidloes Town registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Porthmadog's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Porthmadog VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Porthmadog
(Home) 26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1 Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
08 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Rhyl
13 Dec
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Rhyl
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Llanidloes Town
(Away) 30 Apr
Caersws FC
5 : 0 Llanidloes Town
24 Apr
Holywell Town FC
4 : 0 Llanidloes Town
20 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 4 Bangor 1876
13 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 3 Flint Town
06 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 7 Denbigh
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Caersws FC
5 : 0 Llanidloes Town
24 Apr
Holywell Town FC
4 : 0 Llanidloes Town
20 Mar
Buckley
3 : 0 Llanidloes Town
16 Mar
Airbus UK Broughton FC
2 : 0 Llanidloes Town
03 Feb
Llandudno FC
6 : 1 Llanidloes Town
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town 0
Swansea U21 4
TBD -
Caerau Ely -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 3
Trefelin -
TBD -
Abertillery Bluebirds 0
Ammanford Town 2
Abergavenny Town 0
Briton Ferry 2
Goytre Utd 1
Llantwit Major 2
Penybont -
TBD -
Baglan Dragons 1
Afan Lido 3
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Taffs Well 3
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Llanelli 1
Pontardawe 0
TBD -
Pontypridd United -
Newtown -
TBD -
Caersws FC 1
Guilsfield 3
Ruthin Town 3
Llandudno FC 2
TBD -
Bala -
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
Porthmadog 4
Llanidloes Town 2
Buckley 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Chirk AAA FC 0
Denbigh 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Bangor 1876 3
TBD -
Gresford -
1/16-finals
Swansea U21 3
Caerau Ely 1
Haverfordwest 0
Cardiff U21 4
Trefelin 2
Ammanford Town 3
Briton Ferry 3
Llantwit Major 1
Penybont 1
Afan Lido 2
Taffs Well 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Barry Town 1
Aberystwyth 2
Llanelli 1
Pontypridd United 4
Newtown 1
Guilsfield 2
Ruthin Town 0
Bala 4
Prestatyn 2
Flint Town 1
Colwyn Bay 5
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
TNS 2
Connahs Q. 1
Caernarfon 2
Porthmadog 3
Buckley 3
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 0
Gresford 3
1/8-finals
Swansea U21 2
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Afan Lido 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Aberystwyth 0
Pontypridd United 1
Guilsfield 1
Bala 0
Prestatyn 3
Colwyn Bay 2
TNS 4
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Gresford 1
Quarter-finals
Swansea U21 6
Briton Ferry 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Pontypridd United 0
Guilsfield 2
Prestatyn 1
TNS 9
Gresford 0
Semi-finals
Swansea U21 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Guilsfield 0
TNS 2
Final
Swansea U21 1
TNS 5
