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Porthmadog vs Rhayader - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Alliance 2014/2015
Porthmadog Logo

Porthmadog

2 - 2
FT
Rhayader Logo

Rhayader

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Alliance 2014/2015 game between Porthmadog and Rhayader finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Porthmadog
15%
Draws
20%
Rhayader
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Rhayader haven't matched Porthmadog's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Porthmadog a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 20%
Rhayader Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porthmadog Rhayader
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 18 6
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 23
Goals Scored 1.74 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.65 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Porthmadog
0:2
Aug 14, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Rhayader
0:1
Mar 14, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Rhayader vs Porthmadog
1:4
Nov 22, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Rhayader
2:2
Apr 9, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Rhayader
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porthmadog 85 / 100
Rhayader 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porthmadog Rhayader

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porthmadog's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Rhayader let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Porthmadog went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porthmadog VS Rhayader
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Porthmadog

(Home)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 7

Rhayader

(Away)
20 Sept
Rhayader
1 : 4
Cefn Cribwr
07 Oct
Cwmamman United
3 : 1
Rhayader
05 Nov
Rhayader
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
04 Oct
Rhayader
4 : 3
Caerau Ely
07 May
Rhayader
0 : 4
Cefn Druids
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 22 5 3 96:27 71
2 Caernarfon 30 20 6 4 82:25 66
3 Guilsfield 30 19 6 5 68:33 63
4 Buckley 30 15 7 8 69:47 52
5 Holyhead 30 15 6 9 49:38 51
6 Porthmadog 30 15 5 10 63:35 50
7 Denbigh 30 14 6 10 54:51 48
8 Caersws FC 30 13 8 9 61:47 47
9 Mold Alexandra 30 13 5 12 58:49 44
10 Flint Town 30 13 5 12 39:45 44
11 Conwy Borough 30 12 5 13 52:46 41
12 Rhayader 30 8 6 16 42:53 30
13 Llanidloes Town 30 8 5 17 55:78 29
14 Penycae FC 30 6 4 20 46:78 22
15 Llandrindod 30 5 3 22 32:103 18
16 Rhydymwyn 30 1 0 29 21:132 3
Promotion - Premier League 2015/2016 (Main)