Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Porthmadog advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porthmadog
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Porthmadog come out ahead of Rhydymwyn on wins alone.
- Model gives Porthmadog a 85% chance of winning this.
- Porthmadog have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rhydymwyn, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 17%
Rhydymwyn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Porthmadog | Rhydymwyn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 29 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 14, 2015 Cymru Alliance
Rhydymwyn vs Porthmadog
1:2
Oct 25, 2014 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Rhydymwyn
4:0
Nov 30, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Rhydymwyn vs Porthmadog
0:4
Aug 17, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Rhydymwyn
0:1
Apr 6, 2013 Cymru Alliance
Rhydymwyn vs Porthmadog
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Porthmadog 84 / 100
Rhydymwyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Porthmadog Rhydymwyn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Porthmadog's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Rhydymwyn conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Rhydymwyn's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Porthmadog VS Rhydymwyn
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Porthmadog
(Home) 03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1 Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2 Porthmadog
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03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Bangor 1876
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0 Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2 Bala
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
08 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 0 Rhyl
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Rhydymwyn
(Away) 21 Sept
Llannefydd
1 : 0 Rhydymwyn
14 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 0 Rhydymwyn
19 Oct
Nantlle Vale FC
2 : 0 Rhydymwyn
20 Oct
Llay Welfare
2 : 0 Rhydymwyn
04 Apr
Llandrindod
7 : 0 Rhydymwyn
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21 Sept
Llannefydd
1 : 0 Rhydymwyn
14 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 0 Rhydymwyn
19 Oct
Nantlle Vale FC
2 : 0 Rhydymwyn
20 Oct
Llay Welfare
2 : 0 Rhydymwyn
04 Apr
Llandrindod
7 : 0 Rhydymwyn
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Bala 1
Llanrug 0
Caersws FC 4
Coedpoeth 1
Caerau Ely 1
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangollen 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Cambrian United 0
TNS 2
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 2
Caldicot 0
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 3
Grange Harlequins 0
Porthmadog 3
Rhydymwyn 1
Rhyl 4
Bridgend Town 2
Pontardawe 2
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Town 0
Bangor City 1
Aberaman 2
Ely Rangers 0
Llanelli 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangeinor 1
Holyhead 6
1/8-finals
Bala 2
Caersws FC 0
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TNS 6
Aberystwyth 0
Port Talbot 2
Prestatyn 1
Porthmadog 0
Rhyl 7
Pontardawe 0
Bangor City 3
Aberaman 1
Llanelli 4
Holyhead 0
Quarter-finals
Bala 2
Afan Lido 0
TNS 2
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 5
Rhyl 4
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 0
Semi-finals
Bala 0
Port Talbot 1
Prestatyn 0
Bangor City 2
Final
Port Talbot 2
Bangor City 3
