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Porthmadog vs Rhyl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Baum L. O.

AI Match Summary

Porthmadog in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porthmadog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Porthmadog
30%
Draws
23%
Rhyl
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Rhyl average 1.53 goals a game right now, well clear of Porthmadog's 1.52.
  • Porthmadog are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 16%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porthmadog Rhyl
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Rhyl
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Porthmadog vs Rhyl
1:2
Apr 18, 2020 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Porthmadog
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Rhyl
0:1
Jan 19, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Rhyl vs Porthmadog
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porthmadog Compare

Top Goalscorer Baum L. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rhyl Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porthmadog 66 / 100
Rhyl 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porthmadog Rhyl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porthmadog found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Rhyl let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Porthmadog went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porthmadog VS Rhyl
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Porthmadog

(Home)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Rhyl

(Away)
03 Oct
Rhyl
2 : 3
Brickfield Rangers
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Rhyl
3 : 3
Buckley
05 Sept
Bangor 1876
2 : 2
Rhyl
31 Aug
Denbigh
1 : 3
Rhyl
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)