Sport Picks

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Porthmadog vs Rhyl

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porthmadog host Rhyl in the Cymru North. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Porthmadog at 1.5 goals for, 0.5 against; Rhyl at 1.63 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Rhyl slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 13, 2025, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.06) back Rhyl to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Porthmadog
15%
Draws
7%
Rhyl
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Rhyl have won more games recently than Porthmadog.
  • Porthmadog are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rhyl here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 20%
Rhyl Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porthmadog Rhyl
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 7 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 FA Cup
Porthmadog vs Rhyl
1:2
Apr 18, 2020 Cymru North
Rhyl vs Porthmadog
0:0
Nov 16, 2019 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Rhyl
0:1
Jan 19, 2019 Cymru Alliance
Rhyl vs Porthmadog
2:1
Sep 1, 2018 Cymru Alliance
Porthmadog vs Rhyl
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porthmadog 85 / 100
Rhyl 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porthmadog Rhyl

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhyl let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

Porthmadog found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Porthmadog stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Porthmadog VS Rhyl
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porthmadog

(Home)
01 Aug
Penrhyncoch
1 : 3
Porthmadog
13 Dec
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Rhyl
22 Nov
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Port Talbot
18 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Buckley
24 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 2
Denbigh
Page 1 of 6

Rhyl

(Away)
01 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 1
Guilsfield
14 Jul
Llandudno FC
2 : 0
Rhyl
06 Jul
Colwyn Bay
3 : 2
Rhyl
27 Jun
Flint Town
3 : 2
Rhyl
18 Apr
Penrhyncoch
3 : 0
Rhyl
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Newtown 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Denbigh 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
4 Porthmadog 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
5 Holyhead 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Bala 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Caersws FC 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
8 Mold Alexandra 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 Guilsfield 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Rhyl 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Ruthin Town 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Bangor 1876 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Buckley 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
14 Penrhyncoch 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
15 Gresford 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
16 Llanuwchllyn 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)