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Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Jones C.
61' Event
Baum L. O.
61' Event
Baum L. O.

AI Match Summary

Porthmadog in this Cymru North matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porthmadog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Porthmadog
20%
Draws
23%
Ruthin Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porthmadog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Porthmadog have won more games recently than Ruthin Town.
  • Win probability leans Porthmadog's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Porthmadog Clean Sheet 20%
Ruthin Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porthmadog Ruthin Town
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.54 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town
3:0
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog
4:2
Jan 6, 2024 Cymru North
Porthmadog vs Ruthin Town
2:3
Oct 27, 2023 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog
1:1
Feb 4, 2023 Cymru North
Ruthin Town vs Porthmadog
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Porthmadog Compare

Top Goalscorer Baum L. O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jones C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ruthin Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porthmadog 85 / 100
Ruthin Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porthmadog Ruthin Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porthmadog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porthmadog scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Ruthin Town has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Porthmadog has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Porthmadog VS Ruthin Town
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porthmadog

(Home)
03 Oct
Porthmadog
1 : 0
Bangor 1876
26 Sept
Newtown
0 : 1
Porthmadog
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
05 Sept
Porthmadog
1 : 2
Bala
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 6

Ruthin Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Buckley
1 : 1
Ruthin Town
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
12 Sept
Porthmadog
3 : 0
Ruthin Town
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3
Caersws FC
31 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 10 9 0 1 26:6 27
2 Newtown 9 7 1 1 18:3 22
3 Mold Alexandra 10 6 2 2 24:13 20
4 Porthmadog 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Bala 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
6 Caersws FC 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
7 Bangor 1876 10 5 1 4 23:18 16
8 Guilsfield 10 4 4 2 16:12 16
9 Buckley 10 3 3 4 22:17 12
10 Llanuwchllyn 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
11 Rhyl 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
12 Ruthin Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
13 Denbigh 10 2 1 7 18:23 7
14 Holyhead 9 2 1 6 11:18 7
15 Gresford 9 2 1 6 6:21 7
16 Penrhyncoch 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)