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Portici 1906 vs Arzachena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sartor M.
47' Event
Di Gennaro D.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Lika A.

AI Match Summary

Arzachena in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzachena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Portici 1906
20%
Draws
74%
Arzachena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzachena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Arzachena have won more games recently than Portici 1906.
  • Model gives Arzachena a 74% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 18%
Arzachena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portici 1906 Arzachena
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Portici 1906 vs Arzachena
1:2
Nov 20, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Portici 1906
3:0
Mar 8, 2020 Serie D - Group G
Portici 1906 vs Arzachena
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Portici 1906
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portici 1906 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Arzachena Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartor M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lika A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portici 1906 10 / 100
Arzachena 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portici 1906 Arzachena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzachena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzachena let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Portici 1906's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Portici 1906 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portici 1906 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Portici 1906

(Home)
05 May
Akragas
1 : 0
Portici 1906
28 Apr
Portici 1906
0 : 1
Vibonese
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1
Portici 1906
14 Apr
Portici 1906
0 : 5
Trapani
07 Apr
USD Ragusa
4 : 0
Portici 1906
Page 1 of 7

Arzachena

(Away)
14 May
Casertana
3 : 3
Arzachena
07 May
Arzachena
2 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2
Arzachena
23 Apr
Arzachena
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)