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Portici 1906 vs Lamezia Terme

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Portici 1906 play Lamezia Terme in the Serie D - Group I 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portici 1906 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Lamezia Terme averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Portici 1906 won 1, Lamezia Terme won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 11, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Portici 1906 and 1.50 for Lamezia Terme. This points to a Portici 1906 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Portici 1906
25%
Draws
37%
Lamezia Terme
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Portici 1906

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Portici 1906 picked up more points recently compared to Lamezia Terme.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 16%
Lamezia Terme Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portici 1906 Lamezia Terme
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 8 1
Draws 8 1
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs Portici 1906
0:0
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs Lamezia Terme
2:1
Jan 4, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Portici 1906 vs Lamezia Terme
1:2
Mar 27, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs Portici 1906
3:2
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs Lamezia Terme
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portici 1906 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maione V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Umile B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lamezia Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Palermo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portici 1906 37 / 100
Lamezia Terme 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portici 1906 Lamezia Terme

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Portici 1906 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portici 1906 attacking → ← attacking Lamezia Terme

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portici 1906 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Lamezia Terme let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Portici 1906 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Lamezia Terme lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 4
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00