Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024

Locri 1909

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portici 1906 play Locri 1909 in the Serie D - Group I 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portici 1906 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Locri 1909 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Portici 1906 won 2, Locri 1909 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 17, 2024 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Portici 1906 and 1.30 for Locri 1909. This points to a Portici 1906 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Portici 1906

18%

Draws

34%

Locri 1909

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Portici 1906

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Portici 1906 picked up more points recently compared to Locri 1909.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 19%

Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portici 1906	Locri 1909
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	8	6
Draws	8	7
Losses	13	18
Goals Scored	1.03	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.81

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I

Portici 1906 vs Locri 1909

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 2 - 2

1:3

Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group I

Locri 1909 vs Portici 1906

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 2 - 1

0:2

Jan 13, 2019 Serie D - Group I

Portici 1906 vs Locri 1909

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

5:1

Sep 23, 2018 Serie D - Group I

Locri 1909 vs Portici 1906

Possession: 48% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portici 1906 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maione V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsico A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Leveque A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portici 1906 47 / 100

Locri 1909 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portici 1906 Locri 1909

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Portici 1906 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portici 1906 attacking → ← attacking Locri 1909

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portici 1906 scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Locri 1909 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Portici 1906 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Locri 1909 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 25

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trapani	34	30	4	0	95:15	94
2	Siracusa	34	25	6	3	79:26	81
3	Vibonese	34	22	6	6	67:29	72
4	Reggina	34	19	8	7	54:25	65
5	AS Acireale	34	15	9	10	39:41	54
6	S. Agata	34	15	7	12	46:35	52
7	Real Casalnuovo	34	15	6	13	52:49	51
8	USD Ragusa	34	14	8	12	41:38	50
9	Canicatti	34	14	6	14	55:51	48
10	Igea Virtus	34	13	6	15	38:40	45
11	Licata	34	12	7	15	43:54	43
12	Akragas	34	12	6	16	42:53	42
13	Sancataldese	34	9	10	15	32:43	37
14	Portici 1906	34	8	8	18	32:55	32
15	San Luca	34	6	12	16	37:55	29
16	Locri 1909	34	7	7	20	34:68	28
17	Castrovillari	34	2	12	20	29:76	17
18	Nuova Gioiese	34	3	2	29	18:80	11
19	Lamezia Terme	0	0	0	0	0:0	0