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Portici 1906 vs Siracusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
De Luca A.
23' Event
Maggio D.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Maggio D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Portici 1906 and Siracusa finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Siracusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Portici 1906
6%
Draws
90%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Siracusa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portici 1906 haven't matched Siracusa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Siracusa a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Portici 1906 Clean Sheet 19%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portici 1906 Siracusa
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Portici 1906
2:0
Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Portici 1906 vs Siracusa
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portici 1906 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Siracusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Maggio D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alma G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portici 1906 10 / 100
Siracusa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portici 1906 Siracusa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Siracusa conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Portici 1906 scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Portici 1906 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Siracusa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trapani34304095:1594
2Siracusa34256379:2681
3Vibonese34226667:2972
4Reggina34198754:2565
5AS Acireale341591039:4154
6S. Agata341571246:3552
7Real Casalnuovo341561352:4951
8USD Ragusa341481241:3850
9Canicatti341461455:5148
10Igea Virtus341361538:4045
11Licata341271543:5443
12Akragas341261642:5342
13Sancataldese349101532:4337
14Portici 190634881832:5532
15San Luca346121637:5529
16Locri 190934772034:6828
17Castrovillari342122029:7617
18Nuova Gioiese34322918:8011
19Lamezia Terme00000:00