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Portimonense B vs Oriental

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Galamba A.
87' Event
Mucuana Lobo E. J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Portimonense B and Oriental finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oriental.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Portimonense B
30%
Draws
58%
Oriental
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oriental

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Portimonense B haven't matched Oriental's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Oriental taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Portimonense B Clean Sheet 20%
Oriental Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense B Oriental
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Portimonense B vs Oriental
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs Portimonense B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portimonense B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Oriental Compare

Top Goalscorer Galamba A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mucuana Lobo E. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense B 10 / 100
Oriental 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense B Oriental

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriental Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriental's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Portimonense B found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Portimonense B remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense B VS Oriental
0.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense B

(Home)
18 Apr
Sintrense
2 : 1
Portimonense B
12 Apr
Portimonense B
1 : 3
Lagoa
04 Apr
Portimonense B
0 : 3
Malveira
29 Mar
Alverca B
4 : 0
Portimonense B
22 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
0 : 0
Portimonense B
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Oriental

(Away)
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Oriental
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2
Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2
Alverca B
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Oriental
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)