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Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Sawane M.
36' Event
Samissone P.
47' Event
Sawane M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Revelacao U23 game between Portimonense U23 and Rio Ave U23 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Ave U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Portimonense U23
39%
Draws
30%
Rio Ave U23
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Rio Ave U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga Revelacao U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Rio Ave U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Portimonense U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Rio Ave U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense U23 Rio Ave U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Liga Revelacao U23
Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga Revelacao U23
Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23
1:3
Apr 1, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23
2:1
Jan 21, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Portimonense U23 vs Rio Ave U23
0:2
Apr 2, 2024 Liga Revelacao U23
Rio Ave U23 vs Portimonense U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portimonense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samissone P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rio Ave U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sawane M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Torres F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense U23 30 / 100
Rio Ave U23 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense U23 Rio Ave U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portimonense U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Rio Ave U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Rio Ave U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense U23 VS Rio Ave U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gil Vicente U2316121335:2137
2Rio Ave U2316110525:1633
3SC Farense U231683522:1727
4Estoril U231674521:1825
5Estrela da Amadora U231654718:1619
6Leiria U231653824:2618
7Vizela U231653820:3118
8Maritimo U231652917:2517
9Portimonense U2316321121:3311