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Portimonense vs Al Ahli SC

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Portimonense and Al Ahli SC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portimonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Portimonense
20%
Draws
51%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli SC come out ahead of Portimonense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 15%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Portimonense vs Al Ahli SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense 31 / 100
Al Ahli SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portimonense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al Ahli SC has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Portimonense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense VS Al Ahli SC
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense

(Home)
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1
Portimonense
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
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Al Ahli SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
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