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Portimonense vs Al Ahli SC

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Portimonense and Al Ahli SC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portimonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Portimonense
22%
Draws
18%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Portimonense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Ahli SC come out ahead of Portimonense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Portimonense a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 12%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Portimonense vs Al Ahli SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense 56 / 100
Al Ahli SC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portimonense scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Al Ahli SC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Portimonense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense VS Al Ahli SC
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense

(Home)
29 Jul
Estrela da Amadora
1 : 1
Portimonense
28 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Portimonense
0 : 3
Rio Ave
17 May
Portimonense
1 : 0
SC Farense
09 May
FC Felgueiras
1 : 1
Portimonense
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Al Ahli SC

(Away)
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Fulham
28 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0
Al Ahli SC
24 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 3
Vitoria Guimaraes
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
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