Sport Picks
Portimonense vs Pacos Ferreira
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio Municipal de Portimão, Portimão 
Match Events
19'
19'
Cagro W.
(Penalty)
30'
30'
Pinto J.
38'
38'
Mamede
AI Match Summary
Pacos Ferreira in this Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pacos Ferreira.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portimonense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Portimonense have won more games recently than Pacos Ferreira.
- 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 68%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portimonense | Pacos Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Pacos Ferreira
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Portimonense
4:1
Apr 18, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Portimonense vs Pacos Ferreira
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Portimonense
0:1
Feb 6, 2023 Liga Portugal
Portimonense vs Pacos Ferreira
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portimonense Compare
Top Goalscorer Xavier
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Pacos Ferreira Compare
Top Goalscorer Victor J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fale M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portimonense 41 / 100
Pacos Ferreira 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portimonense Pacos Ferreira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portimonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portimonense found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Pacos Ferreira conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Pacos Ferreira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Portimonense VS Pacos Ferreira
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Portimonense
(Home) 19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1 Portimonense
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2 Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0 Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1 Portimonense
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2 Tondela
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
16 Aug
Portimonense
2 : 0 Vizela
31 Jul
Portimonense
1 : 2 Nottingham
28 Jul
Portimonense
2 : 0 Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 4
Pacos Ferreira
(Away) 13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2 Pacos Ferreira
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4 Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2 Pacos Ferreira
09 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 1 Pacos Ferreira
09 May
SC Farense
1 : 1 Pacos Ferreira
26 Apr
Lusitania FC
2 : 0 Pacos Ferreira
10 Apr
FC Felgueiras
0 : 0 Pacos Ferreira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
