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Portimonense vs Rio Ave - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Portimonense and Rio Ave finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Ave.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portimonense
20%
Draws
40%
Rio Ave
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Ave's 1.18 goals per match outpaces what Portimonense have produced (1).
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Portimonense taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portimonense Rio Ave
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Portimonense vs Rio Ave
0:3
May 11, 2024 Liga Portugal
Portimonense vs Rio Ave
2:2
Jan 7, 2024 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Portimonense
2:0
Apr 8, 2023 Liga Portugal
Portimonense vs Rio Ave
2:2
Oct 24, 2022 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Portimonense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portimonense 49 / 100
Rio Ave 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portimonense Rio Ave

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portimonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portimonense scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Rio Ave's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Rio Ave has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Portimonense VS Rio Ave
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portimonense

(Home)
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1
Portimonense
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
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Rio Ave

(Away)
19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0
Rio Ave
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3
Estrela da Amadora
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Rio Ave
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4
Sporting CP
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2
Rio Ave
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