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Portland (Capital) U23 vs Ballard

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballard in this USL League Two 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Portland (Capital) U23
6%
Draws
90%
Ballard
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ballard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ballard lately — more wins on the board than Portland (Capital) U23.
  • Ballard are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Portland (Capital) U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Ballard Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland (Capital) U23 Ballard
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 28
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2024 USL League Two
Ballard vs Portland (Capital) U23
2:2
Jun 16, 2024 USL League Two
Portland (Capital) U23 vs Ballard
1:8
Jul 13, 2023 USL League Two
Portland (Capital) U23 vs Ballard
1:3
Jul 1, 2023 USL League Two
Ballard vs Portland (Capital) U23
3:2
Jul 10, 2022 USL League Two
Portland (Capital) U23 vs Ballard
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland (Capital) U23 10 / 100
Ballard 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland (Capital) U23 Ballard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland (Capital) U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Ballard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 37 matches.

Solid form: Portland (Capital) U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ballard
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland (Capital) U23

(Home)
14 Jul
Midlakes United
1 : 0
Portland (Capital) U23
10 Jul
Portland (Capital) U23
2 : 1
Lane United FC
07 Jul
Tacoma Stars
3 : 2
Portland (Capital) U23
06 Jul
Portland (Capital) U23
2 : 3
United PDX
04 Jul
Lane United FC
0 : 1
Portland (Capital) U23
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Ballard

(Away)
20 Jul
Ballard
4 : 3
Colorado Storm
18 Jul
Ballard
2 : 1
Utah United
13 Jul
Ballard
4 : 0
Snohomish United
09 Jul
Bigfoot
0 : 4
Ballard
05 Jul
Ballard
7 : 0
Tacoma Stars
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