Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos

USA USA

USL Cup Fitzpatrick Stadium
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Portland Hearts of Pine host New York Cosmos in the USL Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Portland Hearts of Pine have averaged 1.88 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against New York Cosmos's 1.13 scored and 2.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Portland Hearts of Pine have won 2 to New York Cosmos's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.31 - 1.75) back Portland Hearts of Pine to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Portland Hearts of Pine
39%
Draws
31%
New York Cosmos
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Portland Hearts of Pine has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to New York Cosmos.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL Cup provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 12%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Hearts of Pine New York Cosmos
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs New York Cosmos
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Hearts of Pine 29 / 100
New York Cosmos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Hearts of Pine New York Cosmos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Hearts of Pine scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

New York Cosmos let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Portland Hearts of Pine went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

New York Cosmos lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Hearts of Pine VS New York Cosmos
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacramento Republic33007:18
2Spokane Velocity32013:56
3Athletic Club Boise32017:65
4Oakland Roots31023:34
5Monterey Bay31026:73
6Las Vegas Lights30031:51
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colorado Springs33007:19
2El Paso Locomotive32015:36
3New Mexico32016:56
4AV Alta FC31023:53
5Phoenix Rising31022:63
6Orange County SC30033:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC33004:18
2Birmingham Legion32015:26
3One Knoxville32014:34
4FC Tulsa31023:44
5Corpus Christi FC31021:43
6Chattanooga Red Wolves30032:52
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City33009:28
2Indy Eleven43017:47
3Lexington32016:46
4Union Omaha32017:86
5Detroit City31022:35
6Fort Wayne30035:101
7Forward Madison30032:70
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic32016:27
2Brooklyn FC32018:36
3Rhode Island32015:25
4Portland Hearts of Pine31025:94
5New York Cosmos31024:93
6Westchester SC31025:82
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charleston33007:18
2Charlotte Independence33005:28
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds31024:35
4Loudoun United31024:53
5Greenville Triumph31023:53
6Richmond Kickers30031:80
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay33008:19
2Miami FC32016:56
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise31022:43
5FC Naples31023:72