Sport Picks
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity
USA
USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, ME 
Match Events
21'
21'
Fernandez C.
45'
45'
John-Brown S.
Assist: Gallardo J.
60'
60'
Sub
Barbosa D. In: Kidd M.
Out: Barbosa D.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Portland Hearts of Pine and Spokane Velocity finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Hearts of Pine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Spokane Velocity carry the better recent record into this one.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Portland Hearts of Pine taking it.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 68%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Hearts of Pine | Spokane Velocity |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity
2:1
Nov 10, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3:2
Oct 21, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity
6:1
Apr 6, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Top Goalscorer Camara A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kamara J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Spokane Velocity Compare
Top Goalscorer John-Brown S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Hearts of Pine 59 / 100
Spokane Velocity 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Hearts of Pine Spokane Velocity
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spokane Velocity's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Portland Hearts of Pine scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Portland Hearts of Pine remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portland Hearts of Pine VS Spokane Velocity
2.13 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Home) 18 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
11 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
03 Jul
FC Naples
2 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
24 Jun
Portland Hearts of Pine
5 : 1 Richmond Kickers
19 Jun
Westchester SC
5 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
24 Jun
Portland Hearts of Pine
5 : 1 Richmond Kickers
13 Jun
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
30 May
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Spokane Velocity
23 May
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 3
Spokane Velocity
(Away) 11 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3 Spokane Velocity
04 Jul
Fort Wayne
3 : 0 Spokane Velocity
02 Jul
Spokane Velocity
0 : 1 Forward Madison
25 Jun
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Westchester SC
21 Jun
Spokane Velocity
0 : 4 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3 Spokane Velocity
04 Jul
Fort Wayne
3 : 0 Spokane Velocity
14 Jun
AV Alta FC
1 : 0 Spokane Velocity
30 May
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Spokane Velocity
03 May
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 0 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One Knoxville | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 30:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 27:20 | 32 |
| 3 | Charlotte Independence | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:22 | 30 |
| 4 | AV Alta FC | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 28 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25:24 | 27 |
| 6 | Fort Wayne | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 27 |
| 7 | Forward Madison | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 8 | Spokane Velocity | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:21 | 26 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 10 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | 20 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:26 | 19 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17:28 | 18 |
| 13 | FC Naples | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 18:27 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 25:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12:30 | 12 |
| 17 | New York Cosmos | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17:33 | 11 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)