Sport Picks
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity
USA
USL League One Fitzpatrick Stadium, Portland, ME 
Match Events
21'
21'
Fernandez C.
45'
45'
John-Brown S.
Assist: Gallardo J.
60'
60'
Sub
Barbosa D. In: Kidd M.
Out: Barbosa D.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Portland Hearts of Pine and Spokane Velocity finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Hearts of Pine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Spokane Velocity carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Portland Hearts of Pine taking it.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 13%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Hearts of Pine | Spokane Velocity |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity
2:1
Nov 10, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine
3:2
Oct 21, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Spokane Velocity
6:1
Apr 6, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Top Goalscorer Camara A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kamara J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Spokane Velocity Compare
Top Goalscorer John-Brown S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Hearts of Pine 40 / 100
Spokane Velocity 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Hearts of Pine Spokane Velocity
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Hearts of Pine's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.
Spokane Velocity has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Portland Hearts of Pine remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portland Hearts of Pine VS Spokane Velocity
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Home) 26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Westchester SC
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
2 : 1 Westchester SC
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Fort Wayne
16 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 3
Spokane Velocity
(Away) 30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
29 Aug
Westchester SC
1 : 3 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:31 | 48 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 47:39 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 37:33 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 46:45 | 30 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 35:54 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27:56 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
