Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Racing Louisville W
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park 
AI Match Summary
Portland Thorns FC W play Racing Louisville W in the NWSL Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portland Thorns FC W averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Racing Louisville W averaged 1.22 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. In past meetings, Portland Thorns FC W won 2, Racing Louisville W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Portland Thorns FC W and 1.25 for Racing Louisville W. This points to a Portland Thorns FC W double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Portland Thorns FC W picked up more points recently compared to Racing Louisville W.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.25 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Racing Louisville W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Racing Louisville W Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W scored in 84% of their last 32 games.
Racing Louisville W let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Portland Thorns FC W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Racing Louisville W lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Wave W | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Portland Thorns FC W | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 27 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit W | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Utah Royals W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | 24 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current W | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 21:17 | 24 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 7 | Gotham FC W | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12:7 | 21 |
| 8 | Orlando Pride W | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Angel City W | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 11 | Seattle Reign W | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Bay FC W | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 14 | Chicago Stars W | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 8:26 | 12 |
| 15 | Boston Legacy W | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 15:24 | 7 |