Sport Picks
Portland Thorns FC W vs Racing Louisville W
USA
NWSL Women Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
8'
8'
Perry J.
13'
13'
Perry J.
Assist: Tordin P.
17'
17'
Jean E.
AI Match Summary
Portland Thorns FC W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Thorns FC W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portland Thorns FC W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Portland Thorns FC W have won more games recently than Racing Louisville W.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Portland Thorns FC W taking it.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 20%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Thorns FC W | Racing Louisville W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Racing Louisville W
4:0
May 8, 2026 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Portland Thorns FC W
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Racing Louisville W
3:3
Oct 19, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Perry J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tordin P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Racing Louisville W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Thorns FC W 85 / 100
Racing Louisville W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Thorns FC W Racing Louisville W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Thorns FC W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Racing Louisville W conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Away concern: Racing Louisville W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Portland Thorns FC W VS Racing Louisville W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Thorns FC W
(Home) 18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
30 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Utah Royals W
Page 1 of 7
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
30 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Utah Royals W
21 May
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 0 Bay FC W
17 May
Portland Thorns FC W
0 : 0 Angel City W
Page 1 of 3
Racing Louisville W
(Away) 19 Jul
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1 Houston Dash W
11 Jul
Racing Louisville W
0 : 2 Bay FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
30 May
Racing Louisville W
0 : 1 Denver Summit W
23 May
Racing Louisville W
1 : 2 North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
18 May
Utah Royals W
2 : 1 Racing Louisville W
03 May
Gotham FC W
1 : 0 Racing Louisville W
29 Apr
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0 Racing Louisville W
04 Apr
Houston Dash W
4 : 3 Racing Louisville W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:12 | 30 |
| 2 | Gotham FC W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 19:10 | 30 |
| 3 | San Diego Wave W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23:17 | 29 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns FC W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:18 | 27 |
| 5 | Utah Royals W | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Angel City W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22:14 | 22 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Orlando Pride W | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 21:21 | 20 |
| 10 | Denver Summit W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Bay FC W | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Seattle Reign W | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Houston Dash W | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18:24 | 16 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy W | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 8:30 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 8 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)