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MLS Next Pro Providence Park

San Jose Earthquakes II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers 2 play San Jose Earthquakes II in the MLS Next Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Portland Timbers 2 averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. San Jose Earthquakes II averaged 2.28 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Portland Timbers 2 won 2, San Jose Earthquakes II won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Portland Timbers 2 and 2.06 for San Jose Earthquakes II. This points to a San Jose Earthquakes II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Portland Timbers 2

15%

Draws

45%

San Jose Earthquakes II

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Jose Earthquakes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Portland Timbers 2 picked up more points recently compared to San Jose Earthquakes II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 72%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 10%

San Jose Earthquakes II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portland Timbers 2	San Jose Earthquakes II
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	16	18
Draws	0	0
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.53	2.28
Goals Conceded	1.67	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Portland Timbers 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 0 - 3

2:3

May 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Portland Timbers 2

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Mar 1, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Portland Timbers 2 vs San Jose Earthquakes II

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Sep 7, 2025 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Portland Timbers 2

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 0 - 0

3:2

May 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro

San Jose Earthquakes II vs Portland Timbers 2

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 1 - 0

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Timbers 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez-Kim L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Izoita E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

San Jose Earthquakes II Compare

Top Goalscorer Heisner J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Bohane Z.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 2 38 / 100

San Jose Earthquakes II 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portland Timbers 2 San Jose Earthquakes II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: San Jose Earthquakes II or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.4%

1.52

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Portland Timbers 2 attacking → ← attacking San Jose Earthquakes II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

San Jose Earthquakes II let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Portland Timbers 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Jose Earthquakes II lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 54

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
4	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
4	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
5	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
7	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
8	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
6	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
7	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
10	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9