Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Providence Park

Portland Timbers 2

1 - 0

Tacoma Defiance

Our Tip

Match Events

Gnaulati X.

11'

Izoita E.

Assist: Fernandez-Kim L.

40'

O'Neill M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Portland Timbers 2 and Tacoma Defiance finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portland Timbers 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Portland Timbers 2

39%

Draws

31%

Tacoma Defiance

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Portland Timbers 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Portland Timbers 2 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 19%

Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Portland Timbers 2	Tacoma Defiance
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	16	12
Draws	0	0
Losses	13	18
Goals Scored	1.38	1
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers 2

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

May 31, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Portland Timbers 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

1:0

Aug 25, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Portland Timbers 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Jul 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers 2

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

May 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Portland Timbers 2 vs Tacoma Defiance

Possession: 53% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Timbers 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Izoita E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 2 31 / 100

Tacoma Defiance 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Portland Timbers 2 Tacoma Defiance

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers 2 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Tacoma Defiance's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Portland Timbers 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers 2 VS Tacoma Defiance

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	17	12	5	41:25	34
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	17	9	8	27:24	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	18	7	11	27:35	22
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	17	5	12	16:31	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12