Sport Picks
Portland Timbers vs Puebla
North & Central America
Leagues Cup Providence Park, Portland, OR 
Match Events
5'
5'
Lassiter A.
14'
14'
Mustre E.
Assist: Garnica B.
36'
36'
Bassett C.
Assist: Velde K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-2. This leg finished 5-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Portland Timbers lately — more wins on the board than Puebla.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Portland Timbers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Portland Timbers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 14%
Puebla Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portland Timbers | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Leagues Cup
Portland Timbers vs Puebla
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portland Timbers Compare
Top Goalscorer Lassiter A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bassett C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Puebla Compare
Top Goalscorer Mustre E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gomez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portland Timbers 31 / 100
Puebla 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portland Timbers Puebla
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Portland Timbers's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Puebla conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.
Puebla lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Portland Timbers VS Puebla
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Portland Timbers
(Home) 27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4 Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4 Minnesota United
30 Aug
Portland Timbers
1 : 2 Austin FC
20 Aug
Portland Timbers
3 : 1 San Diego FC
Page 1 of 4
Puebla
(Away) 27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0 Puebla
19 Sept
Puebla
1 : 1 Atlante
16 Sept
Puebla
0 : 1 Toluca
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1 Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0 Puebla
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0 Puebla
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1 Puebla
30 Aug
Club America
2 : 0 Puebla
18 Aug
Pachuca
2 : 3 Puebla
13 Aug
San Diego FC
3 : 2 Puebla
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Leon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Juarez | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 6 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 10 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 11 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 1 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 1 |
| 17 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 18 | Puebla | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chicago Fire | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 8 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 9 | FC Dallas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 10 | San Diego FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Minnesota United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 13 | Nashville SC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 15 | New York City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 16 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Philadelphia Union | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 18 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)
