Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC

USA USA

MLS Providence Park, Portland, OR
Portland Timbers Logo

Portland Timbers

3 - 1
FT
San Diego FC Logo

San Diego FC

Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Lassiter A.
29' Event
Velde K.
Assist: Bassett C.
45' Event
Gabriel Pirani
Assist: Morgan L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Timbers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portland Timbers
20%
Draws
40%
San Diego FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portland Timbers lately — more wins on the board than San Diego FC.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Portland Timbers taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 11%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portland Timbers San Diego FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.93 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 MLS
San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers
1:2
Nov 10, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs San Diego FC
3:2
Oct 27, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Portland Timbers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portland Timbers Compare

Top Goalscorer Velde K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lassiter A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Pirani
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portland Timbers 47 / 100
San Diego FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portland Timbers San Diego FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portland Timbers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

San Diego FC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: San Diego FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portland Timbers VS San Diego FC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Portland Timbers

(Home)
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1
Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2
St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4
Minnesota United
30 Aug
Portland Timbers
1 : 2
Austin FC
Page 1 of 6

San Diego FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
San Diego FC
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
10 Sept
San Diego FC
2 : 3
San Jose Earthquakes
05 Sept
Orlando City
1 : 0
San Diego FC
30 Aug
San Diego FC
3 : 1
Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
3 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
4 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
5 St. Louis City 26 12 8 6 45:36 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
9 Seattle Sounders 26 9 8 9 33:34 35
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 26 6 3 17 31:63 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 26 12 10 4 63:48 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 26 9 6 11 34:48 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
13 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
14 Columbus Crew 26 7 5 14 37:42 26
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)