Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Vaccarini G.
86'
86'
Torres E.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Portmany and Formentera finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Formentera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Formentera carry the better recent record into this one.
- Formentera are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Portmany Clean Sheet 15%
Formentera Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Portmany | Formentera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Portmany
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Formentera
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Portmany
5:3
Dec 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Formentera
1:4
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Portmany vs Formentera
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Portmany Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Formentera Compare
Top Goalscorer Vaccarini G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Portmany 23 / 100
Formentera 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Portmany Formentera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Formentera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Formentera has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.
Solid form: Portmany remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Portmany scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Portmany VS Formentera
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Portmany
(Home) 10 May
Portmany
0 : 1 Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1 Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1 Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1 Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1 Alcudia
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1 Rotlet Molinar
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1 Santanyi
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1 Alcudia
28 Mar
Portmany
0 : 2 Platges de Calvia
18 Mar
Portmany
0 : 0 Mercadal
Page 1 of 3
Formentera
(Away) 13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1 Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1 Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0 Formentera
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0 Formentera
12 Apr
Binissalem
1 : 1 Formentera
29 Mar
Pena Deportiva
0 : 1 Formentera
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
