Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Portmany vs Inter Ibiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Roque A.

AI Match Summary

Inter Ibiza in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Ibiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Portmany
20%
Draws
44%
Inter Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inter Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter Ibiza lately — more wins on the board than Portmany.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Inter Ibiza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Portmany Clean Sheet 13%
Inter Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Inter Ibiza
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.77 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Inter Ibiza
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Portmany
1:2
Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Portmany
1:1
Dec 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Inter Ibiza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmany Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Inter Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Roque A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 22 / 100
Inter Ibiza 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Inter Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Ibiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Ibiza has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Portmany went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Inter Ibiza lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portmany VS Inter Ibiza
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmany

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Inter Ibiza

(Away)
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
18 Apr
Inter Ibiza
3 : 1
Manacor
12 Apr
Mercadal
0 : 1
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)