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Portmany vs Manacor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
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Match Events

20' Event
Capella M.
90' Event
Riera S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Portmany and Manacor finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manacor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Portmany
20%
Draws
60%
Manacor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manacor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Manacor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Manacor taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Manacor here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Portmany Clean Sheet 18%
Manacor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Manacor
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.77 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Portmany
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Manacor
0:2
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Manacor
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Portmany
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Manacor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmany Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Manacor Compare

Top Goalscorer Capella M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riera S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 10 / 100
Manacor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Manacor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manacor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manacor let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Portmany has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Portmany found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Portmany VS Manacor
1.2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmany

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Manacor

(Away)
03 Oct
Manacor
2 : 1
Andratx
27 Sept
Sineu
1 : 4
Manacor
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)