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Portmany vs Pena Deportiva

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Parra P.

AI Match Summary

Pena Deportiva in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pena Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Portmany
30%
Draws
47%
Pena Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pena Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pena Deportiva lately — more wins on the board than Portmany.
  • Win probability leans Pena Deportiva's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Portmany Clean Sheet 10%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Pena Deportiva
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.77 2
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Portmany
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Pena Deportiva
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmany Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pena Deportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Parra P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 18 / 100
Pena Deportiva 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Pena Deportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pena Deportiva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Deportiva let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Portmany stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Portmany's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Portmany VS Pena Deportiva
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.83 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmany

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Pena Deportiva

(Away)
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0
Pena Deportiva
20 Jun
Pena Deportiva
5 : 2
Arenas Armilla
14 Jun
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
07 Jun
Manacor
1 : 3
Pena Deportiva
30 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Manacor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)