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Portmany vs Rotlet Molinar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Segovia A.

AI Match Summary

Rotlet Molinar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rotlet Molinar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Portmany
30%
Draws
31%
Rotlet Molinar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portmany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Portmany have won more games recently than Rotlet Molinar.
  • Win probability leans Portmany's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Portmany Clean Sheet 16%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmany Rotlet Molinar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 0.77 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Rotlet Molinar
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Portmany
2:1
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Rotlet Molinar
2:0
Oct 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Portmany
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmany Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rotlet Molinar Compare

Top Goalscorer Segovia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmany 41 / 100
Rotlet Molinar 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmany Rotlet Molinar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotlet Molinar has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Portmany stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Rotlet Molinar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portmany VS Rotlet Molinar
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmany

(Home)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

Rotlet Molinar

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2
Rotlet Molinar
11 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
0 : 2
CD Son Cladera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)