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Portmore vs Humble Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Young S.
66' Event
Ximines T.
69' Event
Ximines T.

AI Match Summary

Portmore in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portmore.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Portmore
20%
Draws
7%
Humble Lions
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portmore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Portmore have won more games recently than Humble Lions.
  • Model gives Portmore a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Portmore have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Portmore Clean Sheet 20%
Humble Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmore Humble Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.63 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Humble Lions
4:1
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Portmore
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Humble Lions
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Humble Lions vs Portmore
0:1
Apr 7, 2024 Premier League
Portmore vs Humble Lions
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmore Compare

Top Goalscorer Ximines T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Young S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Humble Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Mullings K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmore 85 / 100
Humble Lions 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmore Humble Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portmore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Humble Lions conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Portmore has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Portmore VS Humble Lions
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmore

(Home)
06 Oct
Arnett Gardens
1 : 1
Portmore
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

Humble Lions

(Away)
04 Oct
Treasure Beach
1 : 1
Humble Lions
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 Sept
Tivoli
3 : 0
Humble Lions
04 May
Humble Lions
0 : 4
Mount Pleasant
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waterhouse 4 3 1 0 14:1 10
2 Montego Bay 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
3 Racing United 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
4 Tivoli 4 2 2 0 7:2 8
5 Tru-Juice FC 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
6 Cavalier 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
7 Portmore 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
8 Arnett Gardens 4 1 1 2 8:7 4
9 Mount Pleasant 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
10 Chapelton 4 1 1 2 3:10 4
11 Molynes United 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
12 Treasure Beach 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
13 Humble Lions 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
14 FC Dunbeholden 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)