Sport Picks

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Portmore vs Mount Pleasant

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Ferdi Neita Sports Complex, Portmore
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Brown W.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Mount Pleasant advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Portmore
15%
Draws
37%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portmore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mount Pleasant come out ahead of Portmore on wins alone.
  • Portmore are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Mount Pleasant arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mount Pleasant, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Portmore Clean Sheet 68%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmore Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Portmore vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
May 20, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Portmore
2:4
May 18, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Mar 24, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Portmore
4:1
Mar 2, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Portmore
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmore Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmore 77 / 100
Mount Pleasant 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmore Mount Pleasant

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portmore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Mount Pleasant conceded in 68% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Portmore went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Portmore VS Mount Pleasant
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmore

(Home)
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2
Salcedo
25 May
Cavalier
2 : 3
Portmore
Page 1 of 6

Mount Pleasant

(Away)
20 Sept
Mount Pleasant
0 : 1
Racing United
17 Sept
Mount Pleasant
1 : 0
Cavalier
13 Sept
Tru-Juice FC
4 : 0
Mount Pleasant
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
03 Sept
Salcedo
1 : 1
Mount Pleasant
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mount Pleasant -
TBD -
Portmore 5
Racing United 3
Montego Bay -
TBD -
Waterhouse 2
Cavalier 4
Semi-finals
Mount Pleasant 3
Portmore 4
Montego Bay 1
Cavalier 2
Final
Portmore 3
Cavalier 2
Mount Pleasant 3
Montego Bay 2