Sport Picks

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Portmore vs Mount Pleasant

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Ferdi Neita Sports Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Brown W.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Portmore and Mount Pleasant finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mount Pleasant.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Portmore
39%
Draws
31%
Mount Pleasant
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mount Pleasant come out ahead of Portmore on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Portmore Clean Sheet 68%
Mount Pleasant Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmore Mount Pleasant
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 13 19
Draws 13 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Portmore
2:4
May 18, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Mount Pleasant
0:1
Mar 24, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Portmore
4:1
Mar 2, 2026 Premier League
Mount Pleasant vs Portmore
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Mount Pleasant
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmore Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mount Pleasant Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmore 41 / 100
Mount Pleasant 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmore Mount Pleasant

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Portmore went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Mount Pleasant conceded in 57% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Portmore VS Mount Pleasant
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mount Pleasant-
TBD-
Portmore5
Racing United3
Montego Bay-
TBD-
Waterhouse2
Cavalier4
Semi-finals
Mount Pleasant3
Portmore4
Montego Bay1
Cavalier2
Final
Portmore3
Cavalier2
Mount Pleasant3
Montego Bay2