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Portmore vs Waterhouse

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Ferdi Neita Sports Complex, Portmore
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Simms M.
73'
Guthrie R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Portmore and Waterhouse finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waterhouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Portmore
15%
Draws
45%
Waterhouse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Waterhouse carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Portmore Clean Sheet 11%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Portmore Waterhouse
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 15 17
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.65 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.09 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Waterhouse
0:0
Mar 26, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Waterhouse
2:1
Mar 5, 2026 Premier League
Portmore vs Waterhouse
0:1
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Portmore
1:2
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Portmore vs Waterhouse
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Portmore Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Waterhouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Simms M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Portmore 30 / 100
Waterhouse 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Portmore Waterhouse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Waterhouse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portmore's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Portmore went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Waterhouse conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Portmore VS Waterhouse
2.13 Goals Scored 2.29
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Portmore

(Home)
27 Sept
Portmore
4 : 1
Humble Lions
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
09 Sept
Portmore
0 : 1
Mount Pleasant
04 Sept
Cavalier
0 : 2
Portmore
04 Aug
Portmore
1 : 2
Salcedo
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Waterhouse

(Away)
28 Sept
Waterhouse
2 : 0
Treasure Beach
21 Sept
Humble Lions
0 : 5
Waterhouse
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)