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Porto-BA U20 vs Alagoinhas U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2025
Porto-BA U20 Logo

Porto-BA U20

1 - 0
FT
Alagoinhas U20 Logo

Alagoinhas U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Porto-BA U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Porto-BA U20
30%
Draws
29%
Alagoinhas U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porto-BA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Porto-BA U20 come out ahead of Alagoinhas U20 on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Porto-BA U20 taking it.
  • Porto-BA U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Porto-BA U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Porto-BA U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Alagoinhas U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto-BA U20 Alagoinhas U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Baiano U20
Alagoinhas U20 vs Porto-BA U20
3:1
Jul 5, 2025 Baiano U20
Porto-BA U20 vs Alagoinhas U20
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto-BA U20 85 / 100
Alagoinhas U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto-BA U20 Alagoinhas U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto-BA U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Porto-BA U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Alagoinhas U20 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Porto-BA U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Porto-BA U20 VS Alagoinhas U20
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto-BA U20

(Home)
13 Jun
Porto-BA U20
1 : 1
Barcelona FC U20
07 Jun
Barcelona FC U20
3 : 2
Porto-BA U20
03 Jun
Conquista FC U20
3 : 0
Porto-BA U20
31 May
Porto-BA U20
2 : 1
Barcelona FC U20
23 May
Porto-BA U20
3 : 1
Jequie U20
Page 1 of 6

Alagoinhas U20

(Away)
08 Sept
Bahia U20
16 : 0
Alagoinhas U20
13 Jun
Camacariense U20
2 : 2
Alagoinhas U20
06 Jun
Alagoinhas U20
0 : 1
Camacariense U20
03 Jun
Fluminense de Feira U20
1 : 3
Alagoinhas U20
30 May
Alagoinhas U20
0 : 0
Jacuipense U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Feirense U20 1
Estrela De Marco U20 2
Leonico U20 1
Grapiuna U20 0
Conquista FC U20 1
Fluminense de Feira U20 4
Ypiranga U20 3
Vitoria U20 1
SSA U20 1
Barcelona FC U20 4
Porto-BA U20 2
Alagoinhas U20 3
Jequie U20 2
Bahia U20 4
Jacuipense U20 6
Galicia U20 3
Quarter-finals
Estrela De Marco U20 6
Leonico U20 1
Fluminense de Feira U20 2
Ypiranga U20 3
Barcelona FC U20 3
Alagoinhas U20 4
Bahia U20 3
Jacuipense U20 1
Semi-finals
Estrela De Marco U20 2
Ypiranga U20 1
Alagoinhas U20 1
Bahia U20 4
Final
Estrela De Marco U20 0
Bahia U20 6