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Porto-BA U20 vs Grapiuna U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

Grapiuna U20 in this Baiano U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grapiuna U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Porto-BA U20
20%
Draws
29%
Grapiuna U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Porto-BA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Porto-BA U20 have won more games recently than Grapiuna U20.
  • Model gives Porto-BA U20 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Porto-BA U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Porto-BA U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto-BA U20 Grapiuna U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.7 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Baiano U20
Porto-BA U20 vs Grapiuna U20
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Baiano U20
Grapiuna U20 vs Porto-BA U20
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Baiano U20
Porto-BA U20 vs Grapiuna U20
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Baiano U20
Grapiuna U20 vs Porto-BA U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto-BA U20 40 / 100
Grapiuna U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto-BA U20 Grapiuna U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Porto-BA U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Porto-BA U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Porto-BA U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Grapiuna U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Porto-BA U20 VS Grapiuna U20
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Porto-BA U20

(Home)
13 Jun
Porto-BA U20
1 : 1
Barcelona FC U20
07 Jun
Barcelona FC U20
3 : 2
Porto-BA U20
03 Jun
Conquista FC U20
3 : 0
Porto-BA U20
31 May
Porto-BA U20
2 : 1
Barcelona FC U20
23 May
Porto-BA U20
3 : 1
Jequie U20
Page 1 of 6

Grapiuna U20

(Away)
13 Jun
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Grapiuna U20
06 Jun
Grapiuna U20
1 : 2
Vitoria U20
03 Jun
Grapiuna U20
2 : 0
Vitoria da Conquista U20
30 May
Serrano U20
0 : 0
Grapiuna U20
23 May
Barcelona FC U20
1 : 0
Grapiuna U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 12 7 2 3 48:15 23
2 Alagoinhas U20 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
3 Galicia U20 12 6 3 3 14:9 21
4 Jacuipense U20 12 6 3 3 19:16 21
5 SSA U20 12 5 3 4 14:22 18
6 Botafogo BA U20 12 0 6 6 11:29 6
7 Juazeirense U20 12 0 4 8 7:27 4
Promotion - Baiano U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela De Marco U20 14 11 3 0 28:6 36
2 Fluminense de Feira U20 14 10 2 2 36:8 32
3 Vitoria U20 14 9 2 3 30:9 29
4 Ypiranga U20 14 5 3 6 10:20 18
5 Leonico U20 14 5 1 8 15:24 16
6 Feirense U20 14 5 0 9 15:23 15
7 Jacobina U20 14 2 3 9 10:26 9
8 Atlantico EC U20 14 2 0 12 10:38 6
Promotion - Baiano U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grapiuna U20 12 8 3 1 20:6 27
2 Barcelona FC U20 12 7 2 3 22:12 23
3 Porto-BA U20 12 6 2 4 15:17 20
4 Jequie U20 12 4 4 4 15:12 16
5 Conquista FC U20 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista U20 12 2 4 6 13:19 10
7 Teixeira de Freitas U20 12 1 3 8 8:26 0
Promotion - Baiano U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams