Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Porto-BA U20 vs Grapiuna U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Porto-BA U20 in this Baiano U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Porto-BA U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Porto-BA U20
33%
Draws
27%
Grapiuna U20
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Porto-BA U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Porto-BA U20 have won more games recently than Grapiuna U20.
  • Win probability leans Porto-BA U20's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Porto-BA U20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Porto-BA U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Porto-BA U20 Grapiuna U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Baiano U20
Porto-BA U20 vs Grapiuna U20
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Baiano U20
Grapiuna U20 vs Porto-BA U20
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Baiano U20
Porto-BA U20 vs Grapiuna U20
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Baiano U20
Grapiuna U20 vs Porto-BA U20
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Porto-BA U20 40 / 100
Grapiuna U20 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Porto-BA U20 Grapiuna U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Porto-BA U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Grapiuna U20 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Porto-BA U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Porto-BA U20 VS Grapiuna U20
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia U2014121162:837
2Galicia U201491424:1428
3Camacariense U201490537:2127
4SSA U201462629:1520
5Jacobina U201462618:1820
6Juazeirense U201453616:2518
7Feirense U2014301111:359
8Camacari U201411126:674
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria U2014121149:1437
2Fluminense de Feira U201483330:1827
3Jacuipense U201473424:1524
4Estrela De Marco U201464418:1622
5Alagoinhas U201463526:2321
6Bahia de Feira U201441916:2513
7Redencao U2014311017:3610
8Leonico U201412119:425
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Porto-BA U2014103131:1733
2Conquista FC U201494123:731
3Vitoria da Conquista U201464425:1122
4Barcelona FC U201453616:1618
5Grapiuna U201452718:1617
6Serrano U201451820:3016
7Jequie U201443718:2215
8Catuense U2014201216:486